H505, Spring, 1998
Edward Lazear, Stanford University
Lecture 6
Topics in Treatment of Current
Workers
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Internal versus External Promotion
Why do firms seem to favor insiders
over outsiders? There are a number of obvious reasons, some having to do
with firm specific human capital. Insiders know the routine and need not
be trained in the specific procedures of the particular firm. Insiders
know the people and their idiosyncracies. But sometimes when firm specific
aspects are unimportant, outsiders who dominate insiders by a significant
margin are passed by to promote an internal candidate.
For example, consider a consulting
firm that makes its best employees partners after some period of time.
Such firms occasionally bring in outsiders at the partner level, but more
often than not, promotion is from within. Despite the fact that management
consulting is quite a general skill, e.g., a top McKinsey consultant, could,
within a short period of time be converted to a Booz Allen consultant,
mobility of this sort is rare, relative to internal promotion.
Tournament theory provides an explanation
of this practice and suggests that in most circumstances, some favoring
of insiders over outsiders is appropriate. When outsiders are included
in the set of contestants for a particular position, the number of contestants
expands. This reduces the probability that any particular individual will
win the promotion. More precisely, it reduces the effect of effort on the
probability of getting promoted. As a result, individuals who know that
they compete with a large number of outsiders tend not to work as hard
as those whose competitor pool is limited to those currently at the firm.
Increasing the spread between the winner's and loser's prizes can offset
the effects of enlarging the set of contestants, but increasing the spread
has its disadvantages. All else being equal, risk-averse workers prefer
that the difference in prizes between winners and losers be small. If it
is possible to increase effort by excluding outsiders then workers are
better off except in rare cases. Firms can pay lower salaries, and effort
is increased. This is illustrated in figure 6.1. The incentives in the
left panel may be just as strong as the incentives in the right panel,
even though the spread is smaller. The reason is that there is more competition
in the left panel.
This logic implies that promotion
from within is a good strategy. The other side of this argument is that
introducing outsiders breaks collusion that might occur within the firm.
Thus, our next principle:
Internal promotion produces better
incentives than outside hiring. Outside hiring should only be used when
the outside candidate is significantly better than all internal candidates,
or when insiders have colluded to put forth too little effort in the past.
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Empowerment of the Workforce
Would the world be a better place if
workers were able to have more control in the firm? Some arguments in favor
of firms where worker have some of the control are:
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Information: When workers have control,
they are more likely to have information. In Jack Stack (a case from your
H280 class), workers were given access to the company's books. The company
did this to convince the workers that its claims about the desperate nature
of firm's situation were not contrived. This approach, sometimes referred
to as "open book management," changes worker incentives and labor supply
behavior. Giving workers power makes them insiders, which may make things
better for the firm. Giving workers power, especially through representatives,
may be an important way to inform employees in a credible way about what
is happening in the company. When is this a good strategy?
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The analysis: A worker receives utility
U0 if she does not work, UF if she works at a fast
pace, and UN if she works at a normal pace.
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Point: The firm wants workers to work
hard when things are tough, but workers prefer not to work too hard. They
will do it to save their jobs, but the firm can't convince them that the
situation is critical. The workers rank not working, working fast and working
normal from low to high. Thus, U0 < UF <
UN so will work hard if it is a bad state, which happens with
probability (1-p). If they work at the normal rate during the bad state,
the the firm will go bankrupt and workers will lose their jobs.
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If workers do not have the information,
then the must choose either to work fast or normal. They work at the normal
rather than the fast pace iff UF < pUN +
(1-p) U0 . Using this expression, the workers are more
aggressive, i.e., choose to hold to the normal pace when
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Alternatives are good (U0 is
high)
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When normal work is not painful (UN
is high)
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When fast work is very painful (UF
is low)
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When p, the probability that good states
occur, is high.
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What do workers choose to do? If they
have no information about the state, they must make their decision based
on the probability of a given occurrence. This depends on the parameters
above. For any given set of U s, they will choose to work fast or normal
depending on p. See the following table.
|
No Information |
Full Information |
|
Low P- Works fast |
High P - Works Normal |
Works Fast |
Works Normal |
Good State |
Works too hard |
Correct |
Never occurs |
Correct |
Bad State |
Correct |
Firm fails |
Correct |
Never occurs |
The full information scenario yields
correct behavior by workers all of the time. The no-information scenario
yields two distortions: workers may work too hard in the good state or
probably worse, they do not work hard enough in the bad state.
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When workers have some power, they can
get information that will allow them to behave in a way that maximizes
their own benefit. Doing so also helps the firm when workers would have
behaved against the interests of the firm.
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Firms that must worry most about this
problem are those that generally face good economic conditions. Their workers
will choose to work at normal levels of effort, causing a disaster when
things turn bad.
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Why would a firm ever withhold information?
Because when p is sufficiently low, the workers always choose to work hard,
which improves the firm's profits to the extent that the firm must bargain
with workers over splitting the surplus.
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Young workers tend to be more aggressive
because their current situation is worse relative to their alternatives
than for older workers. This may reflect firm-specific human capital or
simply a long-term contract that underpays the young and overpays the old.
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More generally, when workers have a
great deal of firm-specific human capital, management is more likely to
profit by resisting demands for open book management.
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Note that informing workers only of
the bad state is tantamount to informing them of both states, because they
can infer from failure to inform that the state is a good one.
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Another reason why it may be beneficial
to give workers power is that giving workers power induces them to communicate
their preferences to the firm. E.g., if workers tell a firm that they like
a particular benefit, the firm may be inclined to use the information against
the workers, providing that benefit and taking many others away. Since
the firm knows that the worker places such a high value on the benefit,
there is room to extract surplus from the worker by tightening down on
other aspects of remuneration. The worker will not quit because she likes
the benefit so much. As a result, workers are reluctant to give this information
to the firm. If, on the other hand, the workers have some power and can
control the way in which the information is used, they will be more inclined
to provide it. (The complete analysis is provided in Chapter 18, pp. 510-13.)
C. Providing workers with power may
enhance productivity in the firm. Workers are creative and have information
that management lacks. But there is a tradeoff. Better suggestions are
made, but reading the suggestions and dealing with the workers takes time.
Consultation with workers becomes more useful when
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They both speak the same "language."
Workers who represent the other workers or who make suggestions themselves
need to know the vocabulary of the trade and of business. European workers
often elect managers to be their representatives on works councils.
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Information sets are disjoint and relevant.
If management knows everything that workers know, then consultation is
of less use. Consultation is most useful when workers have different information
than managers and when the different information that they possess is relevant
to the production process.
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If all of this is so good, why don't
firms voluntarily cede power to workers? The reason is that it is difficult
or impossible to give up the power without also giving workers some power
to capture a larger share of the pie. Let us start with a proposition.
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To maximize profits, the firm should
not give the productivity maximizing amount of power or information to
the workforce. To see this, let x denote the amount of power or discretion
given to the workers, say through a union. See figure 6.2. The rent of
the firm R, depends on x. If workers are given no discretion, R=R0. With
some worker discretion, decisions improve and R rises. If too much worker
discretion is given, then rent falls because management does not have enough
control over decisions. The result is an R(x) function that has an inverted
u-shape.
Denote the share of total rent that
goes to workers as . The share also depends on x. It is a standard result
of bargaining models that the share rises with bargaining strength. Thus,
(x) is monotonically increasing in x. To start, then,
(1) a. R = R(x)
b. = (x) .
Will the firm voluntarily cede the
socially optimal levels of power to workers? For a profit-seeking firm,
analysis of optimizing behavior says "no". The firm will give less than
x* power to the council, where x* is defined as the level of worker power
that maximizes joint surplus.
Formally, the profit-seeking firm
will maximize:
(2) ( 1-(x) ) R(x)
which has the first order condition
-'(x)R(x)+(1-(x))R'(x)= 0
so that
R'(x)='(x)R(x) / (1 - (x)) > 0
Since is increasing in x, the r.h.s.
of (3) is positive which implies that R' > 0 at the firm's
optimum point. The firm will choose
a level of power for the council on the rising part of the rent-producing
curve, and voluntarily give workers less power than x*. The optimum point
on the firm's profits curve, lies to the left of the social optimum x*.
What about workers? If they could
choose the amount of power for the works council, would they choose the
socially optimal level? Workers who seek to maximize their share of the
total surplus [(x) R(x)] will, by symmetry with the analysis of the firm,
fail to select the socially optimal point. Workers will choose a level
of power that exceeds x*. They choose xw in fig. 6.2, shortchanging
the interests of capital.
Summary
1. Internal promotion provides more
incentives for workers than external promotion. External promotion should
be used only when the external candidate is significantly better than the
internal one. This may reflect difference is ability or the fact that insiders
have implicitly colluded to slack off.
2. Open book management makes information
available to workers. To the extent that it is to be used, it is most profitable
when workers believe that conditions for the firm are generally good and
when the firm is dealing with a relatively young workforce or one that
does not have a great deal of firm-specific capital. Under these circumstances,
they tend to work at too relaxed a pace, even when the firm truly needs
the increased effort.
3. Unless workers have control over
the way information is used, they will be reluctant to allow management
to know their true preferences. This is another benefit to providing workers
with some power.
4. Despite the fact that giving more
power to workers makes the firm more productive, it is not profitable to
give them as much power as would maximize the joint surplus. The reason
is that the more power workers have, the larger the share of the rent that
they can extract.